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<title>Tepper School of Business</title>
<copyright>Copyright (c) 2013 Carnegie Mellon University All rights reserved.</copyright>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper</link>
<description>Recent documents in Tepper School of Business</description>
<language>en-us</language>
<lastBuildDate>Sat, 09 Feb 2013 01:40:37 PST</lastBuildDate>
<ttl>3600</ttl>


	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	

	
		
	




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<title>To avoid or not to avoid? Gender and the emotional experience of relationship conflict</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1506</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1506</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:56:21 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Relationship conflict has detrimental effects, and scholars advise avoiding these conflicts. However, little is known about the emotional experience of relationship conflict and the intrapersonal consequences of conflict avoidance. In a field study of a long-term healthcare organization, we developed and tested a model examining the emotional experience of relationship conflict, and, in particular, the role of gender and conflict avoidance. We proposed that gender will influence the negative emotional experience of relationship conflict, the amount of emotional labor associated with hiding these emotions, and the effectiveness of avoidance as a conflict management strategy. Findings revealed that women experienced significantly more negative emotions from relationship conflict than men. For women, conflict avoidance led to increased emotional labor, whereas for men, conflict avoidance did not influence emotional labor. Overall, results indicated that relationship conflict elicited negative affective effects, ultimately leading to emotional exhaustion, which were exacerbated by conflict avoidance for women.</p>

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<author>Julia B. Bear et al.</author>


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<title>Mastering Your 70% Zone: The Strategy of Long Term Advantage</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1505</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1505</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:56:14 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Shifting energy forward more effectively than your rivals and gaining advanced commitments to the future is the ultimate responsibility of strategy. Here are four steps that can help to identify, early on, and secure commitment to, those decisive initiatives that shape a company’s future.</p>

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<author>Jeffrey R. Williams</author>


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<title>Managing a Firm&apos;s Cash Flow Recovery Strategy</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1504</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1504</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:56:08 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Traditional cash flow estimation techniques focus on generating net cash flow estimates period-by-period, which are then discounted by the firm’s cost of capital. While conceptually strong, this aggregation approach can be insensitive to the fine-grained detail so important to managing project cash flows, in particular, that investment returns are always a combination of growth (renewal) and decline (convergence) forces at work over the firm’s life. As is demonstrated in this paper, the aggregation problem can be addressed by employing a cash flow recovery period (CFRP) framework, which distinguishes and quantifies the renewal and convergence forces unique to each firm’s project cash flows. The benefit of this more fine-grained approach is that it provides an additional level of detail that can be used to manage firm returns.</p>

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<author>Aditya V. Rajkumar et al.</author>


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<title>Don’t talk about it: Active avoidance in organizations</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1503</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1503</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:56:04 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We introduce a new construct—active avoidance—that can be beneficial for organizations. Active avoidance is motivated by situational incongruence and takes two qualitatively different forms— pretending and bypassing, depending on the salience of outcome versus process expectations in an aversive situation. Active avoidance can lead to positive consequences by facilitating process inventions that involve increased efficiency and helpful accommodations. We discuss the conditions under which organizations can harness the positive results of active avoidance</p>

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<author>Julia B. Bear et al.</author>


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<title>Creating and Leading Analytic Teams</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1502</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1502</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:55:57 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>The analysis of intelligence information invariably involves both cognitive and social processes. At core, analysis is a cognitive activity. Although intelligence analysts often draw both on technological aids and on input from others, ultimately it is the human brain that organizes and interprets data to generate an assessment or prediction. A great deal of research has been conducted to identify both the cognitive biases that can compromise the validity of analytic conclusions and the heuristics that can help analysts do their work efficiently and well (see, for example, the well-known book by Richards Heuer [1999] on the psychology of intelligence analysis, research by Gerd Gigerenzer and his colleagues [1999] on "fast and frugal" heuristics, and the other chapters in this volume).</p>

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<author>J. Richard Hackman et al.</author>


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<title>Computing Equilibria of Dynamic Games</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1501</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1501</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:55:51 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>In two influential papers, Abreu, Pearce and Stacchetti (APS) (1986, 1990) developed set-valued dynamic programming techniques for solving certain classes of repeated game. They showed that, for these games, the set of sequential equilibrium payoffs can be computed as a fixed point of an operator analogous to the Bellman operator in dynamic programming. These methods can be extended to cover a large class of dynamic games that arise naturally in industrial organization, macroeconomics, and public finance.1 In the dynamic case, the object of interest is a correspondence that maps a physical state variable to sets of equilibrium payoffs. APS-based methods imply that the equilibrium payoff correspondence is a fixed point of a monotone operator and can be obtained via an iteration of this operator. In principle, this iterative procedure can be implemented numerically to solve for the equilibrium payoff correspondence. However, its practical numerical implementation requires an approximation scheme for correspondences that is efficient and consistent with the underlying structure of the monotone operator. In the first part of this paper, we provide such a scheme.</p>

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<author>Kenneth L. Judd et al.</author>


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<title>External Financing and the Role of Financial Frictions over the Business Cycle: Measurement and Theory</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1500</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1500</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:55:46 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We examine the quantitative importance of financial market shocks in accounting for business cycle fluctuations. We emphasize the role financial markets play in real- locating funds from cash-rich, low productivity firms to cash-poor, high productivity firms. Using evidence on financial flows at the firm level, we find that for publicly traded firms (in Compustat), almost all investment is financed internally. However, using an alternative data source (Amadeus), we find that most investment by privately held firms is financed through borrowing. Motivated by these observations, we build a quantitative model featuring publicly and privately held firms that face collateral constraints and idiosyncratic risk over productivity as well as non-financial linkages. In our calibrated model, we find that a shock to the collateral constraints which generates a one standard deviation decline in the debt-to-asset ratio leads to a 0.5% decline in aggregate output on impact, roughly comparable to the effect of a one standard deviation shock to aggregate productivity in a standard real business cycle model. In this sense, we find that disturbances in financial markets are a promising source of business cycle fluctuations when non-financial linkages across firms are sufficiently strong.</p>

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<author>Ali Shourideh et al.</author>


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<title>Efficient Financial Crises</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1499</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1499</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:55:38 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>I analyze the causes of financial crises and policies designed to mitigate their effects. I provide new evidence that the capital structure of financial institutions is significantly more illiquid than that of non-financial businesses. I develop a theory in which such differences in capital structure arise from the differences in information lenders have about the assets of financial and non-financial businesses. I use the theory to show that the illiquid capital structure used by financial institutions leads such institutions to be inherently fragile and that government interventions during a crisis, such as bailouts, are not desirable.</p>

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<author>Ariel Zetlin-Jones</author>


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<title>Adverse Selection, Reputation and Sudden Collapses in Secondary Loan Markets</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1498</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1498</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2013 09:55:31 PST</pubDate>
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	<p>Loan originators often securitize some loans in secondary loan markets and hold on to others. New issuances in such secondary markets collapse abruptly on occasion, typically when collateral values used to secure the underlying loans fall and these collapses are viewed by policymakers as inefficient. We develop a dynamic adverse selection model in which small reductions in collateral values can generate abrupt inefficient collapses in new issuances in the secondary loan market by affecting reputational incentives. We find that a variety of policies intended to remedy market inefficiencies do not help resolve the adverse selection problem.</p>

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<author>V. V. Chari et al.</author>


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<title>Analysis of Pittsburgh&apos;s Parking Assets</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1497</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1497</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:24 PST</pubDate>
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<author>Chester S. Spatt</author>


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<title>Markets for Financial Information</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1496</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1496</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:20 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Information production and access to information play a central role in our financial markets and arguably serves as the lifeblood of the capital markets due to its key role in the pricing of financial assets. Markets for financial information underlie many functions of financial institutions as well as a diverse range of regulatory issues. Much of our securities law focuses upon the timely disclosure of information that is viewed as valuation relevant, including earnings announcements and the trades of corporate insiders.1 Indeed, a range of types of analysts focus upon interpreting and evaluating regulatory-mandated disclosures that the market views as valuation relevant. Of course, the financial market crisis, itself, has shined additional attention on a number of aspects related to information in the marketplace, and especially upon the role of credit-rating agencies. More broadly, the price declines that developed during the crisis reflect information that had not been emphasized previously by market participants and consequently, strengthened the interest in markets for financial information and related institutions.</p>

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<author>Chester S. Spatt</author>


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<title>Endogenous Market Incompleteness Without Market Frictions</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1495</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1495</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:16 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>n this paper, we show that within the set of stochastic three-period-lived OLG economies with productive assets (such as land), markets are necessarily sequentially incomplete, and agents in the model do not share risk optimally. We start by characterizing perfect risk-sharing and find that it requires state-dependent consumption claims which depend only on the exogenous shock realizations. We show then that the recursive competitive equilibrium of any overlapping generations economy with weakly more than three generations is not strongly stationary. This then allows us to show directly that there are short-run Pareto improvements possible in terms of risk-sharing and hence, that the recursive competitive equilibrium is not Pareto optimal. We then show that a financial reform which eliminates the equity asset and replaces it with zero net supply insurance contracts (Arrow securities) will implement to Pareto optimal stochastic steady-state known to exist in the model. Finally, we also show via numerical simulations that a system of government taxes and transfers can lead to a Pareto improvement over the competitive equilibrium in the model.</p>

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<author>Espen Henriksen et al.</author>


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<title>Optimum Savings and Optimal Growth: the Cass-Malinvaud-Koopmans Nexus</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1494</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1494</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:11 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>This paper surveys the contributions of David Cass, Tjalling Koopmans, and Edmond Malinvaud over the decades during which modern optimal growth theory was developed. By utilizing material ranging from dissertations, drafts, and working papers, through conference presentations, discussions and published papers, we show that both Malinvaud and Cass had significant impacts on the evolution of Koopman's thought, and the development of his part of what is known as "the Cass-Koopmans model." Based on our findings, we conclude that the modern optimal growth model should include the contributions of Malinvaud, and re-titled "the Cass-Malinvaud-Koopmans" model accordingly.</p>

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<author>Stephen E. Spear et al.</author>


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<title>Sequential incompleteness and dynamic suboptimality in stochastic OLG economies with production</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1493</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1493</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:06 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We study a stochastic overlapping generations model with production and three- period-lived agents. Agents trade bonds and risky capital. Unlike the two-period model, we show that a stationary equilibrium in which prices and allocations depend solely on the aggregate capital stock and the current shock does not exist. Hence, the recursive equilibrium becomes the relevant equilibrium concept.</p>
<p>For the recursive formulation of the model, markets are sequentially incomplete and we show that there is room for Pareto improvements in terms of intergenerational risk sharing. Finally, we examine whether the introduction of capital income taxation improves the allocation of risk.</p>

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<author>Fabrizio Orrego et al.</author>


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<title>Lending, Lying, and Costly Auditing</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1492</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1492</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:21:02 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>In this paper, we describe a bankruptcy game played in a pure-exchange, perfectly competitive economy, and establish the existence of competitive equilibria. The game admits of lying by borrowers and costly auditing by lenders. The equilibria are characterized by (endogenously determined) equilibrium probabilities of default, loan quantities, interest rates, and default risk premia, and by equilibria simultaneously determined in risk-free debt markets. We find that the optimal debt contract is the standard debt contract, and that the risk-free debt market may be inactive, as all parties may strictly prefer risky debt contracts to risk-free debt.</p>

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<author>John Kareken et al.</author>


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<title>Inventory Rebalancing and Vehicle Routing in Bike Sharing Systems</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1491</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1491</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:58 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Bike sharing systems have been installed in many cities around the world and are increasing in popularity. A major operational cost driver in these systems is rebalancing the bikes over time such that the appropriate number of bikes and open docks are available to users. We combine two aspects that have previously been handled separately in the literature: determining service level requirements at each bike sharing station, and designing (near-)optimal vehicle routes to rebalance the inventory. Since finding provably optimal solutions is practically intractable, we propose a new cluster-first route-second heuristic, in which the polynomial- size Clustering Problem simultaneously considers the service level feasibility constraints and approximate routing costs. Extensive computational results on real-world data from Hubway (Boston, MA) and Capital Bikeshare (Washington, DC) are provided, which show that our heuristic outperforms a pure mixed integer programming formulation and a constraint programming approach.</p>

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<author>Jasper Schuijbroek et al.</author>


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<title>MDD Propagation for Sequence Constraints</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1490</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1490</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:53 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>.We study propagation for the sequence constraint in the context of constraint programming based on limited-width MDDs. Our first main contribution is proving that establishing MDD-consistency for sequence is NP-hard. Second, we propose a partial filtering algorithm that relies on a specific decomposition of the constraint and a novel extension of MDD filtering to node domains. Finally, we experimentally evaluate the performance of our proposed filtering algorithm. We show that large savings can be obtained in terms of search tree size and computation time with respect to the current best MDD approach that applies the decomposition of sequence into among constraints. In addition, we show the potential of our MDD propagator with respect to a state-of-the-art domain propagator for sequence, both in terms of search tree size and computation time</p>

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<author>Willem-Jan van Hoeve</author>


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<title>Flexible Milk-Runs for Stochastic Vehicle Routing</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1489</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1489</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:49 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We study a vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands in which the goal is to find an optimal set of vehicle routes, such that the capacity of each vehicle is not exceeded with a given probability. We introduce ‘flexible milk-runs’, or flex-runs, to model this problem as a set covering problem to find (near-)optimal solutions. We apply our methodology to design new freight routes for the North-American division of the Bosch/Siemens Home Appliances Corporation. Our computational experiments indicate an expected transportation cost reduction of up to 25%, while at the same time the new routes realize overall increase in robustness with respect to demand fluctuations.</p>

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<author>Ben Peterson et al.</author>


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<title>An MDD Approach to Multidimensional Bin Packing</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1488</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1488</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:44 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We investigate the application of multivalued decision dia- grams (MDDs) to multidimensional bin packing problems. In these problems, each bin has a multidimensional capacity and each item has an associated multidimensional size. We develop several MDD representations for this problem, and explore different MDD construction methods including a new heuristic-driven depth-first compilation scheme. We also derive MDD restrictions and relaxations, using a novel application of a clustering algorithm to identify approximate equivalence classes among MDD nodes. Our experimental results show that these techniques can significantly outperform current CP and MIP solvers.</p>

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<author>Brian Kell et al.</author>


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<title>A Lagrangian Relaxation for Golomb Rulers</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1487</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1487</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:38 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>The Golomb Ruler Problem asks to position n integer marks on a ruler such that all pairwise distances between the marks are distinct and the ruler has minimum total length. It is a very challenging combinatorial problem, and provably optimal rulers are only known for n up to 26. Lower bounds can be obtained using Linear Programming formulations, but these are computationally expensive for large n. In this paper, we propose a new method for finding lower bounds based on a Lagrangian relaxation. We present a combinatorial algorithm that finds good bounds quickly without the use of a Linear Programming solver. This allows us to embed our algorithm into a constraint programming search procedure. We compare our relaxation with other lower bounds from the literature, both formally and experimentally. We also show that our relaxation can reduce the constraint programming search tree considerably.</p>

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<author>Marla R. Slusky et al.</author>


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<title>Improved Filtering for Weighted Circuit Constraints</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1486</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1486</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:34 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We study the <em>weighted circuit</em> constraint in the context of constraint programming. It appears as a substructure in many practical applications, particularly routing problems. We propose a domain filtering algorithm for the weighted circuit constraint that is based on the 1-tree relaxation of Held and Karp. In addition, we study domain filtering based on an additive bounding procedure that combines the 1-tree relaxation with the assignment problem relaxation. Experimental results on Traveling Salesman Problem instances demonstrate that our filtering algorithms can dramatically reduce the problem size. In particular, the search tree size and solving time can be reduced by several orders of magnitude, compared to existing constraint programming approaches. Moreover, for medium-size problem instances, our method is competitive with the state-of-the-art special-purpose TSP solver Concorde.</p>

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<author>Pascal Benchimol et al.</author>


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<title>Flow-Based Combinatorial Chance Constraints</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1485</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1485</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:28 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We study stochastic variants of flow-based global constraints as combinatorial chance constraints. As a specific case study, we focus on the stochastic weighted alldifferent constraint. We first show that determining the consistency of this constraint is NP-hard. We then show how the combinatorial structure of the all different constraint can be used to define chance-based filtering, and to compute a policy. Our propagation algorithm can be extended immediately to related flow-based constraints such as the weighted cardinality constraint. The main benefits of our approach are that our chance-constrained global constraints can be integrated naturally in classical deterministic CP systems, and are more scalable than existing approaches for stochastic constraint programming.</p>

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<author>Andre A. Cire et al.</author>


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<title>The Aimms Interface to Constraint Programming</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1484</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1484</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2013 13:20:23 PST</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>We present an extension of the modeling system Aimms to handle constraint programming problems. Our goal is to provide a more accessible interface to CP technology than current systems offer. We first present basic CP modeling constructs that can be realized with minimum changes to the existing syntax. We then discuss the handling of global constraints. Lastly, we present our extensions to modeling scheduling problems, based on the now-classical representation as activities and resources. An important benefit of the Aimms interface to CP is the ease with which hybrid CP/OR solution methods can be developed.</p>

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<author>Willem-Jan van Hoeve et al.</author>


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<title>Geometry of Online Packing Linear Programs</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1483</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1483</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:37 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We consider packing LP’s with <em>m</em> rows where all constraint coefficients are normalized to be in the unit interval. The <em>n</em> columns arrive in random order and the goal is to set the corresponding decision variables irrevocably when they arrive to obtain a feasible solution maximizing the expected reward. Previous (1 − <em>ε</em>)-competitive algorithms require the right-hand side of the LP to be Ω(m/ϵ<sup>2</sup> log n/ϵ) , a bound that worsens with the number of columns and rows. However, the dependence on the number of columns is not required in the single-row case and known lower bounds for the general case are also independent of <em>n</em>.</p>
<p>Our goal is to understand whether the dependence on <em>n</em> is required in the multi-row case, making it fundamentally harder than the single-row version. We refute this by exhibiting an algorithm which is (1 − <em>ε</em>)-competitive as long as the right-hand sides are Ω(m/ϵ<sup>2</sup>  log n/ϵ) . Our techniques refine previous PAC-learning based approaches which interpret the online decisions as linear classifications of the columns based on sampled dual prices. The key ingredient of our improvement comes from a non-standard covering argument together with the realization that only when the columns of the LP belong to few 1-d subspaces we can obtain small such covers; bounding the size of the cover constructed also relies on the geometry of linear classifiers. General packing LP’s are handled by perturbing the input columns, which can be seen as making the learning problem more robust.</p>

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<author>Marco Molinaro et al.</author>


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<title>Approximation Algorithms for Online Weighted Rank Function Maximization under Matroid Constraints</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1482</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1482</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:32 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Consider the following online version of the submodular maximization problem under a matroid constraint. We are given a set of elements over which a matroid is defined. The goal is to incrementally choose a subset that remains independent in the matroid over time. At each time, a new weighted rank function of a different matroid (one per time) over the same elements is presented; the algorithm can add a few elements to the incrementally constructed set, and reaps a reward equal to the value of the new weighted rank function on the current set. The goal of the algorithm as it builds this independent set online is to maximize the sum of these (weighted rank) rewards. As in regular online analysis, we compare the rewards of our online algorithm to that of an offline optimum, namely a single independent set of the matroid that maximizes the sum of the weighted rank rewards that arrive over time. This problem is a natural extension of two well-studied streams of earlier work: the first is on online set cover algorithms (in particular for the max coverage version) while the second is on approximately maximizing submodular functions under a matroid constraint.</p>
<p>In this paper, we present the first randomized online algorithms for this problem with poly-logarithmic competitive ratio. To do this, we employ the LP formulation of a scaled reward version of the problem. Then we extend a weighted-majority type update rule along with uncrossing properties of tight sets in the matroid polytope to find an approximately optimal fractional LP solution. We use the fractional solution values as probabilities for a online randomized rounding algorithm. To show that our rounding produces a sufficiently large reward independent set, we prove and use new covering properties for randomly rounded fractional solutions in the matroid polytope that may be of independent interest.</p>

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<author>Niv Buchbinder et al.</author>


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<title>Capacitated Vehicle Routing with Non-uniform Speeds</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1481</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1481</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:27 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>The <em>capacitated vehicle routing problem</em> (CVRP) [21] involves distributing (identical) items from a depot to a set of demand locations in the shortest possible time, using a single capacitated vehicle. We study a generalization of this problem to the setting of multiple vehicles having non-uniform speeds (that we call <em>Heterogenous CVRP</em>), and present a constant-factor approximation algorithm.</p>
<p>The technical heart of our result lies in achieving a constant approximation to the following TSP variant (called <em>Heterogenous TSP</em>). Given a metric denoting distances between vertices, a depot <em>r</em> containing <em>k</em> vehicles having speeds {<em>λ</em> <sub> <em>i</em> </sub>}<sub> <em>i</em> = 1</sub> <sup> <em>k</em> </sup>, the goal is to find a tour for each vehicle (starting and ending at <em>r</em>), so that every vertex is covered in some tour and the maximum completion time is minimized. This problem is precisely Heterogenous CVRP when vehicles are uncapacitated.</p>
<p>The presence of non-uniform speeds introduces difficulties for employing standard tour-splitting techniques. In order to get a better understanding of this technique in our context, we appeal to ideas from the 2-approximation for minimum makespan scheduling in unrelated parallel machines of Lenstra et al. [19]. This motivates the introduction of a new approximate MST construction called <em>Level-Prim</em>, which is related to <em>Light Approximate Shortest-path Trees</em> [18]. The last component of our algorithm involves partitioning the Level-Prim tree and matching the resulting parts to vehicles. This decomposition is more subtle than usual since now we need to enforce correlation between the lengths of the parts and their distances to the depot</p>

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</description>

<author>Inge Li Gortz et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>The Price of Oil Risk</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1480</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1480</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:21 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We solve a Pareto risk-sharing problem with heterogeneous agents with recursive utility over multiple goods. We use this optimal consumption allocation to derive a pricing kernel and the price of oil and related futures contracts. This gives us insight into the dynamics of risk premia in commodity markets for oil. As an example, in a calibrated version of our model we show how rising oil prices and falling oil risk premium are an outcome of the dynamic properties of the optimal risk sharing solution. We also compute portfolios that implement the optimal consumption policies and demonstrate that large and variable open interest is a property of optimal risk sharing.</p>

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</description>

<author>Steven D. Baker et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Merger Activity In Industry Equilibrium</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1479</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1479</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:16 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We study the effects of mergers and acquisitions on industry dynamics. We develop an infinite horizon model of a competitive industry, which features mergers, entry, exit, and investment by heterogeneous firms. Merger synergies arise from improvements in productivity and cost efficiencies. We characterize the time-series and cross-sectional evolution of firm productivities and merger opportunities in a rational expectations equilibrium. Consistent with the empirical evidence, our model generates procyclical entry and merger activity, as well as counter-cyclical exit. The presence of a merger market induces higher entry rates and lower exit rates, reduces the counter-cyclicality of exit, and increases the mean and variance of the cross-sectional distribution of firm-level productivities. While entry and exit induce the mean productivity to be counter-cyclical, this pattern is reversed when the possibility of mergers is taken into account.</p>

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</description>

<author>Theodosios Dimopoulos et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Technological Heterogeneity and Corporate Investment</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1478</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1478</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:12 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We study a dynamic model of corporate investment with fixed and convex capital adjustment costs, and estimate the parameters of the model separately for each firm in a sample of U.S. companies. We evaluate empirically the degree of parameter heterogeneity among firms; quantify the cross-sectional distribution of capital adjustment costs; and assess the magnitude of the estimation bias when one assumes that firms are characterized by a homogeneous set of parameter values. The results show that a considerable amount of parameter heterogeneity exists across firms. Average fixed adjustment costs are 1.15% of the firm's capital, they account for the majority of total adjustment costs, and they are underestimated when assuming parameter homogeneity across firms. Adjustment costs decline with firm size, and convex adjustment costs are positively related to a firm's average merger and acquisition expenditure.</p>

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</description>

<author>Theodosios Dimopoulos et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Managing Wind-based Electricity Generation in the Presence of Storage and Transmission Capacity</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1477</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1477</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:07 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Managing power generation from wind is conceptually straightforward: generate and sell as much electricity as possible when prices are positive, and do nothing otherwise. However, this strategy leads to curtailment when wind energy exceeds the transmission capacity or when prices are negative, and possible revenue dilution when current prices are low but are expected to increase in the future. Electricity storage provides a means to alleviate these problems, and also enables the purchase of electricity from the market for later resale. But the presence of storage and transmission capacity complicates the management of electricity generation from wind. Much is unknown about the management of such a generation plus storage and transmission system, for instance, how complex the optimal management of such a system is, how valuable storage is, and how relevant it is to include different factors—such as negative prices, the buying option, and future information. We answer these questions by developing and analyzing a Markov decision process model of this system.</p>

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</description>

<author>Yangfang Zhou et al.</author>


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<item>
<title>Is It More Valuable to Store or Destroy Electricity Surpluses?</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1476</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1476</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:22:01 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>A typical strategy for dealing with commodity surpluses is to store them for future sale; in particular, this is true of electricity. However, because electricity prices can be negative, there exists another potential strategy: To buy and dispose of electricity surpluses at negative prices. It is not clear whether the storage strategy or the disposal strategy is more valuable for a merchant who trades electricity in a market. We investigate this question by modeling the problem of managing an electricity storage facility when prices can be negative: By varying the efficiency of the storage facility, our model encompasses both the case when electricity surpluses are stored and the case when they are destroyed.We establish the optimal policy structure of our model, and show that it subsumes the known optimal commodity storage policy structure when commodity prices are strictly positive. Then, using our optimal policy structure, we compare the storage and disposal strategies based on an existing electricity price model calibrated to historical electricity prices.We find that the disposal strategy is even more valuable for a merchant than the storage strategy.</p>

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</description>

<author>Yangfang Zhou et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>The Benefit of Introducing Variability in Quality Based Service Domains</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1475</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1475</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:56 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We consider a single-server queueing system in which the value customers obtain from service increases with their service time, but decreases with their waiting time. An example of such a system would be a medical clinic: customers always hope to spend little time waiting, but hope to see the doctor for a longer time. For such a system we show, surprisingly, that given a homogeneous customer population, system utility can be improved by increasing the variability in the system by varying the service rate. This is true even if the service rule is static, i.e. even if the service rate must be decided independent of the state of the system.</p>
<p>Specifically, we show it is optimal to segment customers into service grades which are differentiated by their mean service rate (or equivalently mean service time). For such a system we derive the closed-form optimal strategies of service rate differentiation, showing that optimal service rates and grade utilizations both form geometric distributions. We also compute the asymptotic system performance (as the number of grades increases to infinity) and illustrate the sensitivity of the benefits of differentiation with respect to jobs’ characteristics: marginal service value, marginal waiting cost and variation of processing time. We find that providing differentiated service can improve system performance by 5% without any additional capacity investment.</p>

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</description>

<author>Ying Xu et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>The Impact of Dependence on Queueing Systems</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1474</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1474</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:50 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>The effect of dependence is mostly ignored in queueing systems due to the difficulty in its analysis; the existing studies about dependent queueing systems have restrictive assumptions, such as considering only the M/M/1 queue with order of dependence lag-1 in interarrival and service times. In this paper, we conduct a simulation study to observe the impact of dependence in a single server queue, by using different probability distributions and higher orders of dependence. For generating multivariate input for our simulation, we use Vector-Auto-Regressive-to-Anything (VARTA) method that has never been used in queueing systems. We invesitage nonmonotonic behavior of the performance of a single server queue with autocorrelated service times, which is a known observation in the literature but it hasn’t been explained by using VARTA as a novel approach to generate multivariate input.</p>

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</description>

<author>Ismail Civelek et al.</author>


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<item>
<title>Real Option Management of Hydrocarbon Cracking Operations</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1473</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1473</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:44 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Commodity conversion assets play important economic roles. It is well known that the market value of these assets can be maximized by managing them as real options on the prices of their inputs and/or outputs. In particular, when futures on these inputs and outputs are traded, managing such real options, that is, valuing, hedging, and exercising them, is analogous to managing options on such futures, using risk neutral valuation and delta hedging methods. This statement holds because dynamically trading portfolios of these futures and a risk less bond can replicate the cash °ows of these assets. This basic principle is not always appreciated by managers of commodity conversion assets. Moreover, determining the optimal operational cash °ows of such an asset requires optimizing the asset operating policy. This issue complicates the real option management of commodity conversion assets. This chapter illustrates the application of this approach to manage a hydrocarbon cracker, a specific commodity conversion asset, using linear programming and Monte Carlo simulation. The discussion is based on a simplified representation of the operations of this asset. However, the material presented here has potential applicability to the real option management of more realistic models of hydrocarbon cracking assets, as well as other energy and commodity conversion assets.</p>

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</description>

<author>Selvaprabu Nadarajah et al.</author>


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<item>
<title>The Role of Price Spreads and Reoptimization in the Real Option Management of Commodity Storage Assets</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1472</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1472</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:40 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>The real option management of commodity storage assets is an important practical problem. Practition- ers approach the resulting stochastic optimization model using heuristic policies that rely on sequential reoptimization of linear programs. Used in conjunction with Monte Carlo simulation, these policies typ- ically yield near optimal lower bound estimates on the value of storage. This paper reveals that a simple one stage lookahead policy is optimal for a fast storage asset without frictions. Thus, in this (not entirely realistic) case the problem is easy and the reoptimization policies are unnecessary, albeit optimal. In contrast, this paper provides numerical and structural justification for the use of these policies in the general case. Further, the use of price spreads simplifies the estimation of near tight dual upper bounds on the value of storage. This approach relies on using the fast and frictionless asset optimal value func- tion to estimate dual upper bounds in the general case. Monte Carlo simulation and linear programming thus appear adequate for the near optimal valuation and management of commodity storage assets.</p>

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</description>

<author>Nicola Secomandi</author>


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<item>
<title>Optimal Managerial Compensation and Financial Hedging in Commodity Procurement</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1471</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1471</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:35 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>The procurement of commodities, such as basic raw materials and energy sources, is an important operations management activity that can significantly impact the value of a firm. Managing commodities may also include trading of commodities' contracts on the financial markets. The finance and economics literature suggests that financial hedging is a valuable risk management strategy because it can reduce the agency cost. We elaborate on this idea by studying the interaction between financial trading and physical trading decisions within a firm from the principal-agent perspective. This interaction creates tension between the compensation that the firm provides to the procurement manager responsible for physical trading and the financial hedging decision of the firm: a higher bonus rate makes the procurement manager exert more effort, which reduces the variability of the commodity price and reduces the need for hedging. As a result of this tension, we find that the bonus rate is non-monotonic in several parameters that characterize the firm and the manager, such as the average commodity price and the ability level of the manager. We also find that only medium sized companies engaged in commodity procurement should use financial hedging to reduce agency costs.</p>

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</description>

<author>Masha Shunko et al.</author>


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<item>
<title>Community Costs? Analyzing the contingent association between internal cohesion and external knowledge transfer relationships</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1470</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1470</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:28 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Current theoretical arguments highlight the negative implications of cohesion in a network neighborhood for relationships with outsiders. We present argument and evidence illustrating the importance of knowledge overlap inside a neighborhood in moderating the negative internal cohesion effect. We analyzed the tendency for individuals to initiate and sustain knowledge transfer relationships in an online technical forum. Empirical results indicated that as cohesion in a neighborhood increased each member was less likely to initiate and sustain external knowledge transfer relationships. However, the magnitude of negative effect that cohesion had on external knowledge transfer relationships declined as knowledge overlap in the neighborhood increased. Our research findings clarify one condition under which increasing cohesion in a network neighborhood can be expected to undermine external knowledge transfer relationships, and therefore the extent to which the benefits created by cohesion in a neighborhood will come at the expense of relationships that provide access to resources outside the neighborhood.</p>

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</description>

<author>Ray Reagans et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Crowdsourcing New Product Ideas under Consumer Learning</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1469</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1469</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:23 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Crowdsourcing initiatives are becoming a popular tool for new idea generation for firms. Although such initiatives are widely adopted in many different industries, the number of ideas generated often decline over time, and the implementation rates (percentage of posted ideas that are implemented by the firm) are quite low. Critics of crowdsourcing attribute these observations to three key factors: 1. individuals’ limited view about firms’ products, leading to the contributions of mainly niche ideas; 2. consumers’ limited knowledge about firms’ cost structure, leading to the proposals of mostly infeasible ideas; and 3. firms’ lack of response to customers’ ideas, leading to customer dissatisfaction. To investigate these criticisms in detail and to devise policies for firms to alleviate these concerns, we propose a structural model to capture individual idea contribution dynamics. We estimate the model using a rich dataset obtained from IdeaStorm.com, which is a crowdsourcing website affiliated with Dell. On this website, individuals can contribute ideas and vote on other's ideas. The firm then decides which ideas to implement.</p>
<p>Using the peer voting score, we are able to infer the true potential of ideas, whereas the cost to the firm for implementing the idea is indirectly imputed from the idea implementation data. We find that individuals tend to significantly underestimate the costs to the firm for implementing their ideas but overestimate the potential of their ideas in the initial stages of the crowdsourcing process. Therefore, the “idea market” is initially overcrowded with ideas that are less likely to be implemented. However, individuals learn about both their abilities to come up with high potential ideas as well as the cost structure of the firm from peer voting on their ideas and the firm response to contributed ideas. We find that the individuals learn rather quickly about their abilities to come up with high potential ideas, but the learning regarding the firm's cost structure is quite slow. We also find that an individual’s discontent adversely affects the individual’s continuous participation in idea contributions. As a result of the learning process, the crowdsourcing market becomes more efficient. Contributors of low potential ideas eventually drop out, while the high potential idea contributors remain active. Over time, the average potential of generated ideas increases, while the number of ideas contributed decreases. Hence, the firm can reduce the cost of screening ideas without losing high potential ideas. In our policy simulation, we show that providing more precise cost signals to individuals can accelerate the filtering process. Increasing the total number of ideas to respond to and improving the response speed will lead to more idea contributions. However, failure to distinguish between high and low potential ideas and between high and low ability idea generators lead to the overall potential of the ideas generated to drop significantly.</p>

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</description>

<author>Yan Huang et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>A Structural Model of Employee Behavioral Dynamics in Enterprise Social Media</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1468</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1468</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:18 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We develop and estimate a dynamic structural framework to analyze social media content creation and consumption behavior by employees within an enterprise. We focus in particular on blogging behavior by employees. The model incorporates two key features, which are ubiquitous in blogging forums: users face a trade-off between blog posting and blog reading as well as a trade-off between work-related content and leisure-related content. We apply the model to a unique dataset that comprises of the complete details of blog posting and reading behavior of 2396 employees over a 15-month period at a Fortune 1000 IT services and consulting firm. We find that blogging has a significant long-term effect in that it is only in the long term that the benefits from blogging outweigh the costs of content creation. There is also evidence of strong competition among employees with regard to attracting readership for their posts. While readership of leisure posts provides little direct utility, employees still post a significant amount of these posts because there is a significant spillover effect on the readership of work posts from the creation of leisure posts. In addition, we find that that the utility employees derive from posting work-related blogging is about 4 times what they derive from leisure blogging. Reading and writing work-related posts is more costly than leisure-related posts on an average. We conduct counterfactual experiments that provide insights into how different policies may affect employee behavior. We find that a policy of prohibiting leisure-related activities can hurt the knowledge sharing in enterprise setting. By demonstrating that there are positive spillovers from leisure-related blogging to work-related blogging, our results suggest that a policy of abolishing leisure-related content creation can inadvertently have adverse consequences on work-related content creation in an enterprise setting.</p>

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</description>

<author>Yan Huang et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Determinants of Open Source Software License Choice: A Social Influence Perspective</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1467</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1467</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:13 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>This study presents a social influence model of open source license choice. For our theoretical foundation, we build on the heterogeneous diffusion model of social influence from the sociology literature. We characterize specific open source licenses as discrete practices that are at risk of being adopted by new open source projects. Specific hypotheses are proposed and tested on a sample of 5,307 open source projects hosted at SourceForge. Our findings suggest the most important factor that determines which license will be adopted by a new project is the type of license chosen by licensors more socially proximate in the social network of a new project’s licensor. Moreover, the likelihood that a new open source project adopts a particular license increases when additional similar open source projects have previously adopted such a license and when these projects are large and successful. We also find that project managers with longer tenure in open source environments or who have been members of successful open source projects are less susceptible to social influence. This suggests that project managers who are inexperienced with open source software development or who have contributed to unsuccessful open source projects are most influenced by their social context.</p>

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</description>

<author>Param Vir Singh et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Contractive Dual Methods for Incentive Problems</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1466</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1466</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:09 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Several recent papers have proposed recursive Lagrangian-based methods for solving dynamic contracting problems. These methods give rise to Bellman operators that incorporate either a dual inf-sup or a saddle point operation. We give conditions that ensure the Bellman operator implied by a dual recursive formulation is contractive.</p>

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</description>

<author>Matthias Messner et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Recursive methods for incentive problems</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1465</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1465</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:21:00 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Many separable dynamic incentive problems have primal recursive formulations in which utility promises serve as state variables. We associate families of dual recursive problems with these by selectively dualizing constraints. We make transparent the connections between recursive primal and dual approaches, relate value iteration under each and give conditions for such value iteration to be convergent to the true value function.</p>

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</description>

<author>Matthias Messner et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Nonlinear Capital Taxation Without Commitment</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1464</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1464</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:20:54 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We study efficient nonlinear taxation of labor and capital in a dynamic Mirrleesian model incorporating political economy constraints. Policies are chosen sequentially over time, without commitment. Our main result is that the marginal tax on capital income is progressive, in the sense that richer agents face higher marginal tax rates.</p>

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</description>

<author>Emmanuel Farhi et al.</author>


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<item>
<title>Misery and Luxury: Long Run Outcomes with Private Information</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1463</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1463</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2013 13:20:50 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We characterize the long run outcome of a dynamic private information economy with public capital accumulation. The economy is typical of those assumed in the new dynamic public finance literature. We establish that almost all agents converge to misery or luxury and bound the fraction who are immiserated.</p>

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</description>

<author>Christopher Sleet et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Inferring Competitor Pricing with Incomplete Information</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1462</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1462</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 13:56:56 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We study how business customers make multi-product purchase decisions and how the distributors who sell those products can make inferences about their demand functions with incomplete information. The problem is that distributors rarely observe a competitor's price directly, and must infer competitor response indirectly from their own observations about customer purchases. In this research we propose that customers make their product orders by minimizing procurement costs. Using the first order conditions from this optimization problem we characterize the regions of the parameter space where consumers buy from each distributor. We use these conditions to estimate a model of purchase behavior that enables us to identify the likelihood of each consumer buying from the competitor versus a direct change in consumption patterns.</p>
<p>Our proposed model is applied to a wholesale food distributor and we find widespread heterogeneity in purchase patterns. The empirical results shed light on the competitive elements of customer demand that cannot be studied with traditional reduced form response models. For example, we found that some costumers satisfy most of their requirement from one of their distributors, while others consistently split their demands across suppliers. Also, we found that price sensitivity of customers making most of their purchases with the focal supplier are less affected by the volume of purchases in previous periods. We expect this result to provide valuable information for vendors to negotiate prices with the customers. It allows the distributor to make efficient inferences about competitors in those occasions when competitor price is not directly observed.</p>

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</description>

<author>Marcel Goic et al.</author>


</item>




<item>
<title>Robust Virtual Implementation under Common Strong Belief in Rationality</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1461</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1461</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 13:56:52 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>Robust virtual implementation asks if a social goal can be approximately achieved if merely the agents’ rationality is commonly believed in. Bergemann and Morris (2009b) show that static mechanisms cannot robustly virtually implement any non-constant social goal if preferences are sufficiently interdependent. Without any knowledge of how agents revise their beliefs this impossibility result extends to dynamic mechanisms, and focusing on static mechanisms is without loss of generality. In contrast, this paper shows that admitting dynamic mechanisms leads to considerable gains if agents commonly believe in rationality “as long as possible.” We illustrate this in private consumption environments with discrete payoff types and generic valuation functions. In such environments, dynamic mechanisms can robustly virtually implement all ex-post incentive compatible social goals regardless of the level of preference interdependence. This result derives from the key insight that under common strong belief in rationality (Battigalli and Siniscalchi, 2002), dynamic mechanisms can almost always distinguish all payoff type profiles by their strategic choices. Notably, dynamic mechanisms can robustly virtually implement the efficient allocation of an object even if static mechanisms cannot.</p>

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</description>

<author>Christoph Mueller</author>


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<item>
<title>Seeking Variety: A Dynamic Model of Employee Blog Reading Behavior</title>
<link>http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1460</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://repository.cmu.edu/tepper/1460</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 13:56:48 PST</pubDate>
<description>
	<![CDATA[
	<p>We investigate the dynamics of blog reading behavior of employees in an enterprise blogosphere. A dynamic model is developed and calibrated using longitudinal data from a Fortune 1000 IT services firm. We identify a variety-seeking behavior of blog readers where they frequently switch from reading on one set of topics to another dynamically. Our results indicate that this switching behavior is induced by the textual characteristics (sentiment and quality) of the posts read, reader characteristics (status, location, expertise), or a readers' inherent desire for variety. Our modeling framework allows us to segregate the impact of post-textual characteristics on attracting readers from retaining them. We find that the textual characteristics that appeal to the sentiment of the reader affect both reader attraction and retention. However, textual characteristics that reflect only the quality of the posts affect only reader retention. The modeling framework and findings of this study highlight opportunities for a firm to influence blog reading behavior of its employees to align it with its goals. We provide directions to improve the utility of blogs as a medium for knowledge sharing. Overall, the blog reading dynamics estimation of this study contributes to the development of theoretically grounded understanding of reading behavior of individuals in online settings and more specifically in communities formed around user generated content.</p>

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</description>

<author>Param Vir Singh et al.</author>


</item>





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