Date of Original Version

12-1975

Type

Response or Comment

Abstract or Description

Our interest in the effect of aggregate economic variables on election results began in 1970 following a conversation with an administration official that we have reported elsewhere, - We doubted both the implicit theory of voting behavior and the ability of the administration to achieve rates of inflation and unemployment even close to the ranges mentioned. We take this opportunity to note that the unemployment rate was higher and the inflation rate substantially higher than the adviser's estimate, but President Nixon was re-elected.

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Published In

The American Political Science Review , 69, 4, 1266-1269.