Schedule

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2015
Thursday, July 23rd
9:00 AM

Parallel Sessions A: Wealth and Occupational Persistence Across Time and Space

Intergenerational Occupational Mobility Across Six Generations in the U.S., 1850-2000

Joseph P. Ferrie, Northwestern University
Catherine G. Massey, U.S. Census Bureau
Jonathan L. Rothbaum, U.S. Census Bureau

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions A: Wealth and Occupational Persistence Across Time and Space

The impact of the American Civil War on Wealth Persistence

Joshua Rosenbloom, University of Kansas
Brandon Dupont, Western Washington University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions A: Wealth and Occupational Persistence Across Time and Space

Is Most Wealth Inherited or Created? England, 1858-2012

Gregory Clark, University of California - Davis
Neil Cummins, London School of Economics

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions A: Wealth and Occupational Persistence Across Time and Space

The Intergenerational Persistence of Entrepreneurship during Economic Transition: Evidence from Eastern Europe, Russia, and China

John S. Earle, Geoge Mason University
Kyung-Min Lee, George Mason University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions B: Empirical Advances in Monetary Policy, Measurement and Inflation

Deriving the Risk Adjusted User Cost for the CFS US Divisia Monetary Aggregates

Ryan S. Mattson, West Texas A&M University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions B: Empirical Advances in Monetary Policy, Measurement and Inflation

Transitory Movements, Inflation Trends and Volatilities During the Great Recession

Semih Cekin, Governor's State University
Victor Valcarcel, Texas Tech University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions B: Empirical Advances in Monetary Policy, Measurement and Inflation

Monetary Transmission Mechanism Through an Expectation Augmented Channel

Taniya Ghosh, Reserve Bank of India
Soumya Suvra Bhadury, University of Kansas

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions B: Empirical Advances in Monetary Policy, Measurement and Inflation

SVAR Approach to Monetary Policy Evaluation in India

Soumya Suvra Bhadury, University of Kansas
Taniya Ghosh, Reserve Bank of India

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions C: Applications of Stochastic Dominance Comparisons

Ranking Alternative Non-Combinable Prospects: A Stochastic Dominance Based Second Best Solution

Gordon Anderson, University of Toronto
Teng Wah Leo, St. Francis Xavier University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions C: Applications of Stochastic Dominance Comparisons

The state of female autonomy in India: A stochastic dominance approach

Gaston Yalonetzky, University of Leeds
Kausik Chaudhuri, University of Leeds

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions C: Applications of Stochastic Dominance Comparisons

Well-being of female-headed Indian households: A multidimensional analysis using nonparametric stochastic dominance Presenters

Juan Tellez, Harvard University
Jaya Krishnakumar, University of Geneva

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions C: Applications of Stochastic Dominance Comparisons

More on multidimensional, intertemporal and chronic poverty orderings

Florent Bresson, University of Auvergne
Jean-Yves Duclos, University of Laval

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions D: Measurement Issues in Health Economics

Introducing the New BEA Health Care Satellite Account

Bryn Whitmire, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Abe Dunn, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Lindsey Rittmueller, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions D: Measurement Issues in Health Economics

Drug Shortages in the US: A Tale of Two Prices

Rena M. Conti, Uinversity of Chicago
Ernst R. Berndt, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions D: Measurement Issues in Health Economics

Adopting Average Acquisition Cost: Are Drugs Now Cheaper for Medicaid

Christopher Stomberg, Bates-White Consultants
W David Bradford, University of Georgia

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions D: Measurement Issues in Health Economics

Off-Label Use of Pharmaceuticals: Trends and Drivers

John L. Turner, University of Georgia
W. David Bradford, University of Georgia
Jonathan W. Williams, University of Georgia

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions E: Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting

Measuring Global and Country-specific Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Exgi Ozturk, International Monetary Fund
Xuguang Sheng, American University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions E: Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations

Klodiana Istrefi, Banque de France
Anamaria Piloiu, Deutsche Bank Research

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions E: Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting

Fundamental Disagreement

Philippe Andrade, Banque de France
Richard Crump, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Stefano Eusepi, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Emanuel Moench, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions E: Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting

A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with Survey Data

Jonas Dovern, Heidelberg University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions F: Econometric and Economic Theoretic Approaches to International Price and Real Expenditure Comparisons

Spatial Chaining Methods for International Comparisons of Prices and Real Expenditures under Heterogeneous Prices and Heterogenous Preferences

Robert Hill, University of Graz
Prasada Rao, University of Queensland
Sriram Shankar, University of Western Sydney
Golamreza Hajarghasht, University of Melbourne

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions F: Econometric and Economic Theoretic Approaches to International Price and Real Expenditure Comparisons

Measuring Industry Productivity and Cross Country Convergence

Robert Inklaar, University of Groningen
Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions F: Econometric and Economic Theoretic Approaches to International Price and Real Expenditure Comparisons

International Comparisons of Living Standards with Heterogeneous Tastes

Peter Neary, Oxford University
Ingvild Almas, Norwegian School of Economics
Ian Crawford, Oxford University

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

Parallel Sessions F: Econometric and Economic Theoretic Approaches to International Price and Real Expenditure Comparisons

Stochastic Approach to the Measurement of Purchasing Power Parities of Currencies and Real Expenditures and the Estimation of Standard Errors

Prasada Rao, University of Queensland
Golamreza Hajarghasht, University of Melbourne

9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

11:00 AM

Coffee Break

11:00 AM - 11:30 AM

11:30 AM

Plenary Session

Consumer Demand with Multidimensional Unobserved Heterogeneity

Rosa Matzkin, University of California - Los Angeles

11:30 AM - 12:30 PM

12:30 PM

Executive Committee Lunch atRestaurant Le Bon 25 rue de la Pompe 75116 Paris

12:30 PM - 2:30 PM

Conference Lunch

12:30 PM - 2:30 PM

2:30 PM

Parallel Sessions A: Financial Services in the Economy

The Joint Services of Money and Credit

Liting Su, University of Kansas
William A. Barnett, University of Kansas, Lawrence, and Center for Financial Stability, New York City

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions A: Financial Services in the Economy

Why Did Bank Lending Rates Diverge from Policy Rates After the Financial Crisis

Anamaria Illes, Bank of International Settlements
Paul Mizen, University of Nottingham
Marco Lombardi, Bank for International Settlements

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions A: Financial Services in the Economy

Adding Creditor's Perspective Information to National Accounts

Marshall Reinsdorf, International Monetary Fund
Kyle Hood, Bureau of Economic Analysis

2:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Parallel Sessions A: Financial Services in the Economy

Producing Liquidity

Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Kimberly Zieschang, International Monetary Fund

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions B: Complexity and Nonlinear Dynamics

Unconventional Monetary Policy Rules

Luca Agnello, University of Palermo
Vitor Castro, University of Coimbra
Gilles Dufrenot, Aix-Marseille School of Economics
Fredj Jawadi, University of Evry Val d'Essone
Ricardo M. Sousa, University of Minho

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions B: Complexity and Nonlinear Dynamics

Capital deepening in OECD countries: the non-linear impact of structural policies

Balazs Egert, OECD, Economics Department

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions B: Complexity and Nonlinear Dynamics

New Investigations on the Public Debt - Economic Growth Relation using Directed Information Tools

Brieuc Guinard, ENS Lyon, IXXI Complex Systems Institute
Pierre Borgnat, ENS Lyon, IXXI Complex Systems Institute
Pablo Jensen, ENS Lyon, IXXI Complex Systems Institute
Antoine Parent, Sciences Po Lyon, Complex Systems Institute

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions B: Complexity and Nonlinear Dynamics

Understanding Financial Risk Through Complexity: Application to Real Time Series

Catherine Kyrtsou, University of Macedonia, CAC, IXXI-ENS Lyon, and University of Paris 10 and Strasbourg
Anastasios Malliaris, Loyola University Chicago
Christina Mikropoulou, University of Macedonia

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions C: The Demand for Money and Liquid Assets

A Disaggregated Liquid Assets Demand System Based on the NQ Expenditure Function

Apostolos Serletis, University of Calgary
Ali Jadidzadeh, University of Calgary

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions C: The Demand for Money and Liquid Assets

The Demand for Liquid Assets: Evidence from Stochastic Volatility Demand Systems

Dongfeng Chang, Shandong University
Apostolos Serletis, University of Calgary

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions C: The Demand for Money and Liquid Assets

Separable Monetary Aggregates: An Investigation of Weak and Additive Separability for the Euro Zone

Barry Jones, Binghamton University
Per Hjertstrand, Institutet for Naringslivsforskning
Livio Stracca, European Central Bank

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions C: The Demand for Money and Liquid Assets

Measuring Economies of Scale in the Financial Services Industry

Shyam Sunder, Yale University

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions D: Systemic Risk Measurements and Networks

Emergence of the EU Corporate Lending Network

Grzegorz Halaj, European Central Bank

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions D: Systemic Risk Measurements and Networks

A Network View on Interbank Market Freezes

Co-Pierre Georg, University of Cape Town

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions D: Systemic Risk Measurements and Networks

Measuring Systemic Illiquidity and Optimal Policy Options: a Dynamic Approach

Gerardo Ferrara, Bank of England
Sam Langfield, European Central Bank
Zijun Liu, Bank of England
Tomohiro Ota, Goldman Sachs

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions D: Systemic Risk Measurements and Networks

Intraday Liquidity and Delays in the European Payments System

Ben Craig, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions E: Contemporary Country Studies in Economic Measurement

An Unconventional Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Poverty and Income Inequality for Turkey

Sadullah Celik, Marmara University Istanbul
Deniz Satiroglu, Frankfurt Goethe University

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions E: Contemporary Country Studies in Economic Measurement

Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition

Ege Yazgan, Kadir Has University
Michele Modugno, U.S. Federal Reserve Board
Baris Soybilgen, Bilgi University and Bahcesehir University Center for Economic and Social Research

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions E: Contemporary Country Studies in Economic Measurement

An Assessment on Graham’s Approach for Stock Selection: The Case of Turkey

Nuray Terzi, Marmara University Istanbul

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions E: Contemporary Country Studies in Economic Measurement

Empirical Evidence on Indirect Spillover Effects

Aysu Insel, Istanbul Kemerburgaz University
Abdurrahman Korkmaz, Izmir Katip Celebi University
Arigiro Moudatsou, Technological Educational Institute of Crete

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions F: Systemic Risk Analytics

Network Linkages to Predict Bank Distress

Tuomas Peltonen, ESRB
Andreea Piloiu, University of Lausanne
Peter Sarlin, Haken School of Economics and Risklab Finland

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions F: Systemic Risk Analytics

Toward Robust Early Warning Models: a Horse Race, Ensembles and Model Uncertainty

Markus Holopainen, Risklab Finland and Arcada University of Applied Sciences
Peter Sarlin, Haken School of Economics and Risklab Finland

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions F: Systemic Risk Analytics

How Does Credit Risk Flow in the CDS Market?

Marco D'Errico, University of Zurich
Stefano Battison, University of Zurich
Tuomas Peltonen, ESRB
Martin Scheicher, ECB

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Parallel Sessions F: Systemic Risk Analytics

Leveraging the Network: A Stress-Test Framework Based on DebtRank

Stefano Battison, University of Zurich
Stefano Gurciullo, University College London
Guid Caldarelli, IMT Lucca

2:30 PM - 4:30 PM

4:30 PM

Coffee Break

4:30 PM - 5:00 PM

5:00 PM

Plenary Session

Measurement Matters: The Case of Capital in the 21st Century

Steven Durlauf, University of Wisconsin, Madison

5:00 PM - 6:00 PM

6:30 PM

Conference Dinner and Lecture at Cercle National des Armées 8 Place Saint-Augustin 75008 PARIS

Ideosynchratic Reflections on Economics as a Science

Assar Lindbeck, Stockholm University

6:30 PM - 9:00 PM