Title

Point Demand Forecasting

Date of Original Version

2001

Type

Working Paper

Abstract or Description

This paper provides geographic information system (GIS) methods and empirical models to forecast point demand for home-delivered goods. A point forecast consists of stops on a street network, including demand at each stop. The purpose of the forecast is to support a network optimization model, based on the traveling salesman problem, to locate one or more new facilities in a region. We illustrate our approach with a case study of home-delivered meals (meals on wheels) in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania.